According to @garyblack00, Tesla’s U.S. EV market share rose to 58.9% in Q4 2025 from 44.4% in Q4 2024 after the $7,500 EV credit expired, with full-year 2025 share at 46.2% versus 44.3% in 2024, and EVs fell to 7.8% of total U.S. auto sales from 8.1% (-2% YoY), source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. GM ranked No. 2 with a 13.3% U.S. EV share in 2025 versus 8.8% in 2024 (+48% YoY), while Ford was No. 3 at 6.6% versus 7.5% (-14% YoY), source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. For traders, the post-incentive Q4 share surge underscores Tesla’s near-term competitive lead amid softer overall EV adoption, which is relevant for positioning in TSLA versus legacy OEMs, source: @garyblack00; Cox Automotive Q4 2025 EV Sales Report. In crypto markets, risk-on moves in U.S. tech have historically coincided with higher BTC-equity correlations, so shifts in megacap auto-tech sentiment can influence BTC and ETH volatility, source: Kaiko Research 2024 Market Structure Update.

According to @CNBC, Morgan Stanley identified U.S. stocks with strong positive earnings revisions as earnings season begins, highlighting estimate-momentum as a key screen for potential near-term leadership. Source: CNBC tweet https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/2011144854269513753 Positive earnings revisions reflect rising analyst EPS estimates and are a widely used factor in equity selection models, per MSCI research on earnings revisions indexes. Source: MSCI https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/earnings-revisions For crypto, stronger equity risk sentiment around upbeat revisions and earnings beats has coincided with higher short-term correlations between BTC and U.S. equities since 2020, according to IMF analysis. Source: IMF https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks Traders can monitor sector beta and implied volatility into results to assess potential spillovers to BTC and ETH via cross-asset risk channels documented during macro shocks, per IMF findings on rising crypto-equity linkages. Source: IMF https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks

According to @StockMKTNewz, Google GOOGL is about 300 billion dollars behind Nvidia NVDA, Apple AAPL is about 300 billion dollars behind Google, and Microsoft MSFT is about 300 billion dollars behind Apple as of January 13, 2026. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, January 13, 2026. These four companies are among the largest weights in the S&P 500, meaning changes in their relative market caps materially affect index concentration and performance observed by traders. Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, S&P 500 top constituents and concentration research. Crypto and equities have exhibited higher correlation since 2020, implying mega-cap tech led moves can spill over into BTC and ETH directionally. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, 2022. Traders can monitor NVDA versus GOOGL, GOOGL versus AAPL, and AAPL versus MSFT market cap and price spreads alongside BTC and ETH momentum during US sessions to gauge cross-asset risk. Source: @StockMKTNewz for cap spread context; International Monetary Fund 2022 for cross-asset correlation.

According to Eric Balchunas, the S&P 500 closed at another all-time high, noting earlier that US equity futures were down about 55 bps and that the market has logged roughly 40 ATHs recently (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Jan 12, 2026). For crypto traders, tracking BTC and ETH alongside US equities is relevant because BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 rose materially after 2020, indicating greater cross-asset co-movement (source: IMF blog 'Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks,' Jan 2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, the Nasdaq-100 will replace AstraZeneca (AZN) with Walmart (WMT) before the market opens on January 20, 2026, which triggers a rebalance for QQQ. source: @StockMKTNewz Index-tracking funds such as Invesco QQQ, which seeks to track the Nasdaq-100, must adjust holdings to reflect constituent changes, creating mechanical buy demand for WMT and sell pressure for AZN around the effective time. sources: Invesco QQQ prospectus; Nasdaq Nasdaq-100 Index Methodology Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq-100 have exhibited periods of positive correlation, so shifts in large-cap tech indices can coincide with changes in crypto risk sentiment. source: International Monetary Fund blog, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks (2022)

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 Communication Services sector has surged 184% over the last three years, marking the strongest 3-year gain on record, surpassing the 155% peak from the 2000 Dot-Com era (source: @KobeissiLetter). Since the 2022 bear market low, the sector has rallied nearly 200%, with META up 588% and GOOGL up 259%, driving outsized sector returns (source: @KobeissiLetter). The Communication Services index now trades 39% above its March 2000 peak, underscoring an unprecedented momentum regime in US tech (source: @KobeissiLetter). For crypto traders, prior cycles have shown that BTC’s correlation with US tech equities can rise during risk-on phases, suggesting sector momentum may inform BTC and ETH beta monitoring (source: Kaiko).

According to @StockMKTNewz on X (Jan 6, 2026), the S&P 500 has closed the year higher 68% of the time since 1900 (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026). In years the market finishes higher, the average return is +18.1%, while in down years the average return is -14.9% (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026; citing @LeverageShares). For crypto traders, these equity return tendencies matter because BTC and ETH have shown periods of positive correlation with U.S. equities, with BTC–S&P 500 60‑day correlation reaching around 0.36 during 2020–2021 (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, Jan 2022). This context can inform risk-on positioning in BTC and ETH during equity uptrends or hedging in potential drawdowns, aligned with the historical +18%/−15% equity return magnitudes (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026; source: IMF, Jan 2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, a single chart compiles S&P 500 annual returns for every year from 1900 through 2025, giving traders a long-horizon dataset for equity market cycle analysis (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 5, 2026). Using this annual series, traders can calculate hit rates of positive vs. negative years, rolling 5–20 year returns, and drawdown context to inform risk management and position sizing in equities (dataset source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 5, 2026). For crypto, comparing S&P 500 regimes from this dataset with BTC and ETH cycles can help gauge risk-on/risk-off correlation and timing for allocation shifts across assets (dataset source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 5, 2026). The post does not include specific statistics in text; traders should reference the shared chart for year-by-year figures before making decisions (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 5, 2026).

According to @charliebilello, since 1928 the S&P 500 has delivered roughly 10% average annual returns while enduring an average intra-year drawdown of about -16%, underscoring that long-term upside has historically come with sizable pullbacks; source: @charliebilello on X and bilello.blog/newsletter. Traders can frame SPX risk budgets around the historical -16% intra-year drawdown profile when assessing position sizing and stop distances during uptrends; source: @charliebilello on X and bilello.blog/newsletter. Because Bitcoin’s correlation with U.S. equities rose markedly after 2020, equity drawdowns have increasingly coincided with downside in BTC and ETH, making SPX weakness a relevant risk signal for crypto leverage and hedging; source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Equities, Jan 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Broadcom (AVGO) now has a larger market capitalization than Meta Platforms (META) as of Jan 3, 2026, highlighting AVGO’s continued ascent among mega-cap AI beneficiaries (Source: @StockMKTNewz). Despite this, the Magnificent 7 is a rules-defined basket—AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, META, TSLA—set by index providers and ETF sponsors, so inclusion does not change automatically with market-cap rankings (Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices Magnificent 7 Index methodology; Roundhill Investments MAGS ETF materials). AVGO’s AI-driven fundamentals remain strong, with management previously guiding over $10 billion in AI-related revenue for FY2024, underscoring sustained data center demand that can support relative strength versus peers (Source: Broadcom Investor Relations guidance). Flow-wise, Mag-7-specific products are unlikely to add AVGO without rule changes, while broad cap-weighted benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 already reflect its size increase, affecting passive allocation and pair-trade dynamics with META (Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices; Nasdaq Indexes; Roundhill Investments). For crypto, periods of mega-cap tech leadership have coincided with risk-on behavior and a positive BTC–Nasdaq correlation in 2023–2024, so continued AI-equity momentum may bolster BTC sentiment even if AVGO remains outside Mag-7 products (Source: Coinbase Institutional Research; Kaiko Research).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Broadcom AVGO now has a larger market capitalization than Meta Platforms META. Source: @StockMKTNewz. In cap-weighted indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, constituent weights are based on float-adjusted market capitalization and are updated at scheduled quarterly rebalances, so a sustained rank change can shift index weights and passive ETF allocations. Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices; Nasdaq Global Indexes. For crypto traders, leadership changes among mega-cap tech are monitored as a risk sentiment gauge given documented periods of positive BTC–Nasdaq-100 correlation, making AVGO versus META strength relevant for cross-asset positioning. Sources: Nasdaq research; Kaiko.

According to @QCompounding, a free e-book summarizing roughly 5,000 pages of Warren Buffett’s writings plus a list of 100 examples of high-quality stocks is available at compounding-quality.kit.com as a practical research resource, source: Compounding Quality on X dated Jan 3, 2026. Traders can use the curated universe to run quality-factor screens focused on profitability, earnings quality, and conservative investment, an approach supported by evidence linking profitability and quality characteristics to return premia, source: Robert Novy-Marx, The Other Side of Value: The Gross Profitability Premium, Journal of Financial Economics, 2013; Clifford S. Asness, Andrea Frazzini, and Lasse H. Pedersen, Quality Minus Junk, Financial Analysts Journal, 2019. Backtesting rebalancing cadence, risk controls, and sector caps on a quality basket can help manage factor drift and benchmark-relative drawdowns during regime shifts, source: Clifford S. Asness, Andrea Frazzini, and Lasse H. Pedersen, Quality Minus Junk, Financial Analysts Journal, 2019. For cross-asset positioning, equity risk regimes matter for crypto because Bitcoin has shown rising correlation with U.S. equities, so tracking a quality equity basket alongside BTC exposure can inform hedging and timing, source: International Monetary Fund blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Posing New Risks by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash S. Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022. The tweet does not disclose specific tickers or performance data, so traders should treat the list as a starting universe and validate signals independently before execution, source: Compounding Quality on X dated Jan 3, 2026.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the worst-performing S&P 500 stocks in 2025 include Trade Desk down 67.7%, Fiserv down 67.3%, Alexandria Real Estate down 49.8%, Deckers down 49.0%, Gartner down 47.9%, Lululemon down 45.7%, Dow down 41.7%, LyondellBasell down 41.7%, and Molina Healthcare down 40.4% (source: @StockMKTNewz). The scale of these declines spans roughly 40% to nearly 68%, which the source characterizes as the official worst performers list for 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). Periods of equity stress have historically coincided with higher short-term correlations between crypto and stocks, so BTC and ETH traders may monitor cross-asset flows as S&P 500 laggards capitulate (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note Jan 2022; BIS Bulletin 2022 No. 52).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 closed 2025 up 16.6%, marking a third consecutive year of double-digit gains, source: @KobeissiLetter, X, December 31, 2025. For crypto, BTC traders often monitor U.S. equity momentum because research has documented time-varying positive correlations between BTC and U.S. stocks, supporting risk-on cross-asset models, source: Coin Metrics Research, State of the Network.

According to @CNBC, Zoom (ZM) is positioned for a strong 2026 and a defined-risk options trade is highlighted that allows traders to participate in gains while limiting losses, signaling a bullish yet controlled exposure to ZM into next year (source: CNBC post dated Dec 31, 2025). According to IMF research, periods of stronger tech equity risk appetite have shown higher correlation with crypto performance, so constructive ZM sentiment can be monitored as a risk-on cue for BTC and ETH if it reflects broader growth-tech momentum (source: IMF analysis on rising crypto–equity correlations, 2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, the US stock market closed the session lower today. source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 30, 2025. For crypto traders, equity selloffs have historically coincided with higher short-term correlations between BTC and US equities, increasing spillover risk to BTC and ETH during risk-off periods. source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022.

According to @KobeissiLetter, roughly 94% of MSCI All Country World Index markets are trading above the 200-day moving average, near a five-year high, while about 87% are above the 50-day moving average, the highest since July. Source: The Kobeissi Letter. Breadth this strong aligns with trend-following conditions where prices above medium and long-term moving averages historically favor staying long across global equities. Source: Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, Time Series Momentum, 2012. For crypto positioning, higher equity risk-on breadth has been associated with stronger stock–Bitcoin comovement, making BTC and ETH more sensitive to equity momentum and liquidity trends during such phases. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Boeing (BA) started the trading day up by more than 1%, indicating early session strength in the stock, source: @StockMKTNewz. BA is a constituent of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, making its early move directly relevant for index-linked equity exposure monitoring, source: S&P Dow Jones Indices. Equity and crypto markets have shown higher correlation since 2020, increasing the relevance of equity risk tone for BTC monitoring, source: International Monetary Fund 2022 analysis on crypto–stock market correlation.

According to @garyblack00, Tesla issued a press release circulating an Investor Relations–compiled Q4 2025 delivery consensus of 423K, which he characterizes as highly unusual for the company, source: Tesla Investor Relations press release; @garyblack00. He notes Bloomberg’s Q4 delivery consensus stands at 445K and can be stale if analysts do not update promptly, underscoring a 22K gap between commonly referenced benchmarks, source: Bloomberg consensus as cited by @garyblack00. He infers that distributing the lower IR-derived consensus signals 4Q actual deliveries are likelier around 420K than 445K, setting expectations toward the lower band into the print, source: @garyblack00. For crypto traders, cross-asset context matters: BTC’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has intermittently turned positive in 2023–2024, so risk sentiment around large-cap tech like TSLA can affect digital assets in the short term, source: Kaiko research.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi’s prediction market currently implies just a 10% chance that the S&P 500 will cross above 7,000 in 2025. Source: @StockMKTNewz; Kalshi. On Kalshi, Yes contract prices map directly to market-implied probabilities, so a 10% probability corresponds to roughly $0.10 per contract. Source: Kalshi. Crypto traders track these equity odds because Bitcoin has shown increased correlation with U.S. equities since 2020, making equity risk signals relevant for digital asset sentiment. Source: IMF 2022; BIS 2022.